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2.5 Release Date Guessing Game

Discussion in 'General Discussion' started by tintin, Feb 4, 2009.

  1. tintin

    tintin

    Joined:
    Feb 3, 2009
    Posts:
    35
    Greeting to every community member!

    This is my first post here, and yes, I'm here for the Unity 2.5 :0) As I'm sick of refreshing Unity home page hundreds times every day just try to find out whether 2.5 is out or not, I would like to open up 2.5 Release Date Guessing Game.

    Here's how we play the guessing game before we releasing our own software. We let our users guess the exact software release date, and on that day, we choose on lucky user from whom made the right guess, and give him/her a license for free!

    I'm not suggesting that Unity should give out one copy of Unity 2.5 to the winner here, but just try killing some waiting time :0)

    So, here's my guess:

    Unity 2.5 will be released on Feb. 25!

    Reason:
    1. Hey, 25 for 2.5, isn't it quite a match
    2. It's 25 days before GDC :)
     
  2. Ryan50

    Ryan50

    Joined:
    Jan 24, 2009
    Posts:
    15
    im going for late Feb or early March
     
  3. Dreamora

    Dreamora

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    Whenever the GDC is in march + 3 days
     
  4. klaymator14

    klaymator14

    Joined:
    Feb 3, 2009
    Posts:
    153
    GDC + 4 days! :O
    -Blayke :)
     
  5. theinfomercial

    theinfomercial

    Joined:
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    Posts:
    1,000
    March 28th, 2009 12:06 P.M. GMT+7
     
  6. tgraupmann

    tgraupmann

    Joined:
    Sep 14, 2007
    Posts:
    828
    I'd guess it takes however long it takes to fix the next 25 bugs, according to one of the developers tweets.

    I'm not sure how many developers there are. But if we guess from the number of hero T-shirts.
    http://www.printfection.com/unifycommunity/Unity-Devs-are-Heroes/_s_64070

    I see 9 t-shirts there. So with total statistical confidence I could absolutely be certain there are 25 * 9 remaining bugs ~= 225 bugs.

    Let's say they can fix 4 or 5 bugs each day. So that would be 45 days. Let's be optimistic and force them to work weekends. That would be within 2 months.

    Of course I took a stats class, and 9 t-shirts isn't an accurate sample size. If there were more t-shirts I could pinpoint the day exactly.
     
  7. MatthewW

    MatthewW

    Joined:
    Nov 30, 2006
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    1,356
    That was probably 25 bugs to the next beta :p
     
  8. Aras

    Aras

    Unity Technologies

    Joined:
    Nov 7, 2005
    Posts:
    4,770
    Yes. I fixed 10 of them, and after three days there were 30 bugs for the next beta. Do the math! :)

    That's what the "subscribe to our news" thingy on the homepage is for. Notifications are more efficient than polling, you know...
     
  9. Dreamora

    Dreamora

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    thought only if the newsletter mail isn't 2 days later than the page update as with the 2.5 news ...
    but yeah less polling would perhaps make the page a little faster ;)
     
  10. tintin

    tintin

    Joined:
    Feb 3, 2009
    Posts:
    35
    Yes, I subscribed that. But... Still, I just can't help clicking again and again :)
     
  11. HiggyB

    HiggyB

    Unity Product Evangelist

    Joined:
    Dec 8, 2006
    Posts:
    6,183
    When the website goes live an email goes out, our server churns through the 15000+ email addresses subscribed as fast as it can.
     
  12. AngryAnt

    AngryAnt

    Keyboard Operator Moderator

    Joined:
    Oct 25, 2005
    Posts:
    3,045
    Tip of the day: The RSS feed is faster.

    Guess: GDC (I believe unity would prefer that. A GDC release is about as cool as it gets for a game engine / tool plus its a cheap press conference if you're planning to go anyway :wink:).
     
  13. tgraupmann

    tgraupmann

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    At some point you need a bug freeze. Shutdown email or filter the bugs. Use a blinder or a helmet. Any bugs after such and such a date do not exist.
     
  14. Charles Hinshaw

    Charles Hinshaw

    Joined:
    Feb 6, 2008
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    1,070
    Avast! I used to hate when people would do that when you had to guess the closest without going over... that just gave me a mean elementary school flashback. Although it was always funny when people would get the strategy wrong and choose one under, effectively forcing themselves to only be able to win if they were 100% accurate.
     
  15. klaymator14

    klaymator14

    Joined:
    Feb 3, 2009
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    Well...I am sorry I did that! :( Do you forgive me? :D
    -Blayke
     
  16. Charles Hinshaw

    Charles Hinshaw

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    Oh, don't worry about it. You didn't do that to me, so I forgive you for that.
     
  17. theinfomercial

    theinfomercial

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    The ultimate purpose in life is to get your in-game character to fart.
     
  18. Merries

    Merries

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    Feb 2, 2009
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    262
    My guess Is March 26th.
     
  19. bloodtiger10

    bloodtiger10

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    Nov 9, 2008
    Posts:
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    well you got my two bugs right?

    I say march-april. I'm on the later side because I think they will release it closer to after snow-leopard to make unity take advantage of the new power. :) GO UNITY! :)
     
  20. Dreamora

    Dreamora

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    good point :)
     
  21. QFS

    QFS

    Joined:
    Jan 22, 2009
    Posts:
    302
    Well lets look at what is known.

    The Unity team made an announcement that "2.5 is coming soon".

    #1 - If 2.5 wasnt close to completion they would not have made that announcement so soon.

    Mainly because they, just like any business, know that if you make an announcement like that it will make customers wait, but if customers wait too long, then it can mean a potential loss of those customers.

    So I'm sure they waited at the right time to make that announcement so it wouldnt be too soon, and not too long.

    My guess is sometime in the first week of March.